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شنبه ، 20 خرداد 1396 ، 09:38

Longitudinal Aging Study in India: Vision, Design, Implementation, and Preliminary Findings

P. Arokiasamy, David Bloom, Jinkook Lee, Kevin Feeney, and Marija Ozolins

AbstractDr. P. Arokiasamy

Population aging is a global phenomenon that all countries face, but global averages can mask considerable heterogeneity both across and within regions (Bloom, 2011a). Countries are at various stages of the process: The share of the 60+ population ranges from under 5% in a number of African and Gulf countries to more than 20% in several European and East Asian countries. However, there is much less heterogeneity with respect to time trends; population aging will take place in all regions and countries going forward. These trends have given rise to increased public thinking and dialogue on the issue of population aging. Some researchers suggest that population aging has substantial capacity to diminish the productive capacities of national economies. Other studies suggest that any negative effects on economic growth are likely to be no more than modest (Bloom, Canning, and Fink, 2010; Boersch-Supan and Ludwig, 2010). Regardless of the effect on the economy as a whole, population aging will lead to increased need for elder care and support, at a time when, in developing societies, traditional family-based care is becoming less the norm than in the past. In addition, a higher share of older people will affect budget expenditures (less for education, but more for healthcare) and may affect tax rates. In Aging in Asia: Findings from New and Emerging Data Initiatives (2012), Edited by: James P. Smith and Malay Majmundar, ISBN: 978-0-309-25406-9, PP. 36-74.

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Population Dynamics and Projection Methods: This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.

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MORTPAK for Windows (Version 4.3): The MORTPAK software packages for demographic measurement have had widespread use throughout research institutions in developing and developed countries since their introduction in 1988. Version 4.0 of MORTPAK included 17. Version 4.3 of MORTPAK enhanced many of the original applications and added 3 more to bring the total to 20 applications. The package incorporates techniques that take advantage of the United Nations model life tables and generalized stable population equations. The package has been constructed with worksheet-style, full screen data entry which takes advantage of the interactive ...

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