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شنبه ، 20 خرداد 1396 ، 09:38

Longitudinal Aging Study in India: Vision, Design, Implementation, and Preliminary Findings

P. Arokiasamy, David Bloom, Jinkook Lee, Kevin Feeney, and Marija Ozolins

AbstractDr. P. Arokiasamy

Population aging is a global phenomenon that all countries face, but global averages can mask considerable heterogeneity both across and within regions (Bloom, 2011a). Countries are at various stages of the process: The share of the 60+ population ranges from under 5% in a number of African and Gulf countries to more than 20% in several European and East Asian countries. However, there is much less heterogeneity with respect to time trends; population aging will take place in all regions and countries going forward. These trends have given rise to increased public thinking and dialogue on the issue of population aging. Some researchers suggest that population aging has substantial capacity to diminish the productive capacities of national economies. Other studies suggest that any negative effects on economic growth are likely to be no more than modest (Bloom, Canning, and Fink, 2010; Boersch-Supan and Ludwig, 2010). Regardless of the effect on the economy as a whole, population aging will lead to increased need for elder care and support, at a time when, in developing societies, traditional family-based care is becoming less the norm than in the past. In addition, a higher share of older people will affect budget expenditures (less for education, but more for healthcare) and may affect tax rates. In Aging in Asia: Findings from New and Emerging Data Initiatives (2012), Edited by: James P. Smith and Malay Majmundar, ISBN: 978-0-309-25406-9, PP. 36-74.

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روش‌های تحلیل جمعیّت‌شناختی: این کتاب توسّط سه تن از جمعیّت‌شناسان نامی علم جمعیّت‌شناسی یعنی فرحت یوسف، جو. ام. مارتین و دیوید ا. سوانسون در چهارده فصل به رشته‌ی تحریر درآمده و در سال 2014 توسّط انتشارات اسپرینگر چاپ و منتشر شده است. دکتر حاتم حسینی و میلاد بگی کتاب را به زبان فارسی برگرداندند. ترجمه‌ی فارسی کتاب در 460 صفحه و شمارگان 1000 نسخه توسّط مرکز نشر دانشگاه بوعلی سینا در تابستان 1396 چاپ و منتشر شد. مطالب این کتاب به شیوه‌­ای سازمان یافته است که اجازه می‌دهد تا خوانندگان از یک سطح مقدّماتی به روش‎های پیشرفته‎تر تحلیل­‌های جمعیّت‎شناختی حرکت کنند. این رویکرد با در نظرگرفتن این نکته است که ممکن است کاربران ...

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